Categories: News

2022 PISA testing likely to be skewed

The Ministry of Education says New Zealand’s 2022 PISA scores are likely to skew higher than anticipated due to sampling issues.

<h2><span data-contrast&equals;"auto">New Zealand’s students may receive a higher 2022 PISA score than expected due to a skewed sample&comma; says the Ministry of Education&period; <&sol;span><span data-ccp-props&equals;"&lbrace;&quot&semi;201341983&quot&semi;&colon;0&comma;&quot&semi;335559739&quot&semi;&colon;160&comma;&quot&semi;335559740&quot&semi;&colon;259&rcub;"> <&sol;span><&sol;h2>&NewLine;<p><span data-contrast&equals;"auto">The Programme for International Student Assessment &lpar;PISA&rpar; is a two-hour test for 15-year-olds testing literacy&comma; numeracy&comma; science literacy and – in 2022 – creative thinking&period; It is delivered across the OECD every three years and can be used for international comparisons as well as tracking educational attainment over time&period; <&sol;span><span data-ccp-props&equals;"&lbrace;&quot&semi;201341983&quot&semi;&colon;0&comma;&quot&semi;335559739&quot&semi;&colon;160&comma;&quot&semi;335559740&quot&semi;&colon;259&rcub;"> <&sol;span><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;schoolnews&period;co&period;nz&sol;latest-print-issue&sol;" target&equals;"&lowbar;blank" rel&equals;"noopener"><strong>Read the Term 4 edition of <em>School News<&sol;em> HERE<&sol;strong><&sol;a><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><span data-contrast&equals;"auto">The results of the 2022 cohort are due out in December&comma; but the Ministry of Education has already <&sol;span><a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;educationcounts&period;govt&period;nz&sol;publications&sol;series&sol;2543&sol;pisa-2022&sol;pisa-2022-non-response-bias-analysis" target&equals;"&lowbar;blank"><span data-contrast&equals;"none">released an analysis<&sol;span><&sol;a><span data-contrast&equals;"auto"> which states that New Zealand’s scores are likely to be about 10 points higher due to sampling bias resulting from challenges and barriers associated with Covid-19&period; <&sol;span><span data-ccp-props&equals;"&lbrace;&quot&semi;201341983&quot&semi;&colon;0&comma;&quot&semi;335559739&quot&semi;&colon;160&comma;&quot&semi;335559740&quot&semi;&colon;259&rcub;"> <&sol;span><&sol;p>&NewLine;<figure id&equals;"attachment&lowbar;16776" aria-describedby&equals;"caption-attachment-16776" style&equals;"width&colon; 300px" class&equals;"wp-caption alignnone"><img class&equals;"size-medium wp-image-16776" src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;schoolnews&period;co&period;nz&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2020&sol;06&sol;AdobeStock&lowbar;187619452-300x200&period;jpeg" alt&equals;"" width&equals;"300" height&equals;"200" &sol;><figcaption id&equals;"caption-attachment-16776" class&equals;"wp-caption-text">Image&colon; AdobeStock 187619452<&sol;figcaption><&sol;figure>&NewLine;<p><span data-contrast&equals;"auto">The report states that schools and students are generally randomly selected through a two-stage stratified sampling design&period; Schools are randomly selected to ensure a representative sample&comma; and from those schools&comma; students are again randomly selected to provide a representative sample of that school’s student body&period; <&sol;span><span data-ccp-props&equals;"&lbrace;&quot&semi;201341983&quot&semi;&colon;0&comma;&quot&semi;335559739&quot&semi;&colon;160&comma;&quot&semi;335559740&quot&semi;&colon;259&rcub;"> <&sol;span><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><span data-contrast&equals;"auto">In 2022&comma; 227 English-medium schools with 15-year-old students were randomly selected from Aotearoa New Zealand’s pool&period; Larger schools were more likely to be selected due to their larger proportion of 15-year-old students&period; From these schools&comma; 25 – 75 students were selected to participate&period; However&comma; only 72 percent of selected schools and students participated&period; Usually&comma; PISA has strict international participation standards of 85 percent of schools and 80 percent of students&period; <&sol;span><span data-ccp-props&equals;"&lbrace;&quot&semi;201341983&quot&semi;&colon;0&comma;&quot&semi;335559739&quot&semi;&colon;160&comma;&quot&semi;335559740&quot&semi;&colon;259&rcub;"> <&sol;span><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><span data-contrast&equals;"auto">At the time of selection&comma; RNZ reported that some Principals refused to participate due to Covid-19 related pressure on their students&period; <&sol;span><span data-ccp-props&equals;"&lbrace;&quot&semi;201341983&quot&semi;&colon;0&comma;&quot&semi;335559739&quot&semi;&colon;160&comma;&quot&semi;335559740&quot&semi;&colon;259&rcub;"> <&sol;span><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><span data-contrast&equals;"auto">A briefing paper from 2022 to Jan Tinetti said &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;the reason nearly all declining schools have given relates to Covid-19 &&num;8211&semi; either due to staff shortage&sol; burdens&comma; student learning loss and&sol; or the two years of disruption and stress on students and staff&period;”<&sol;span><span data-ccp-props&equals;"&lbrace;&quot&semi;201341983&quot&semi;&colon;0&comma;&quot&semi;335559739&quot&semi;&colon;160&comma;&quot&semi;335559740&quot&semi;&colon;259&rcub;"> <&sol;span><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><span data-contrast&equals;"auto">Then Secondary Principals Association president Vaughan Couillault <&sol;span><a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;rnz&period;co&period;nz&sol;news&sol;national&sol;466836&sol;schools-blame-covid-19-pressures-for-decision-to-bypass-pisa-tests" target&equals;"&lowbar;blank"><span data-contrast&equals;"none">said to RNZ<&sol;span><&sol;a><span data-contrast&equals;"auto">&colon; &&num;8220&semi;Because of what my school has been through in the last 18 months with Covid response and disruption to learning&comma; my senior leadership team and I made the decision that it would be a disruption that we could do without&period; Because it is quite burdensome to engage in the particular testing that we&&num;8217&semi;re talking about&period;”<&sol;span><span data-ccp-props&equals;"&lbrace;&quot&semi;201341983&quot&semi;&colon;0&comma;&quot&semi;335559739&quot&semi;&colon;160&comma;&quot&semi;335559740&quot&semi;&colon;259&rcub;"> <&sol;span><&sol;p>&NewLine;

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Naomii Seah

Naomii Seah is a writer and journalist from Tāmaki Makaurau Auckland, Aotearoa New Zealand. She has been covering education in New Zealand since 2022.

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